Well folks, there you have it. The Internet has been on fire ever since the contract was signed for Floyd “Money” Mayweather vs. Manny “PacMan” Pacquiao. The fight, billed as “Fight of The Century” is on for May 2, 2015.
I guess I’m just as happy as anyone else….. I guess. But let’s put a few things in perspective:
- This fight is about five years too late. The world wanted to see prime Mayweather versus prime Pacquiao, and that would’ve put us circa 2009, 2010.
- I can’t tell you how many times I’ve heard folks say, “I’ll believe it will happen when they are in the ring.” Well guess what? Those same folk are sending retweet after retweet about the signed contract. Let’s not lose perspective people. They still aren’t in the ring. The earliest that will happen is on May 2. There’s been many-a-fight signed, only to fall through for many-a-reason. Fingers should remain crossed.
- Both guys have slipped from their physical prime, which makes prognostication that much more difficult than usual. Translation: The things Floyd and Manny could do in 2010, they can’t do in 2015. Who truly knows what we will get on fight night?
- The world is expecting a fight between a 38 year old welterweight and a 36 year old welterweight to live up boxing’s all time biggest bonanza. See previous bullet. Record amounts of money and effort will be spent on fighters based on what they used to do. It’s almost like a 33 year old MLB home run hitter. Underpaid until he reaches his physical prime, then overpaid once he’s past it.
- The world is stoked for two boxers- one who hasn’t had a knockout in four years and the other who hasn’t had one in six. If you truly have extra money on hand for a high-risk wager, take each fighter by KO. Odds are it won’t happen, but if it does, you will clean up. At the time of this story, you’d get seven times the money for a KO.
Hopefully this fight won’t play out like Bernard Hopkins/Roy Jones II, which occurred well past its time and was dreadful. Rumor has it that scientists want to use that fight video as a potential cure for insomnia.
As a boxing journalist, the aforementioned bullet points make it difficult to conduct analysis and predict a true winner without hedging. Both warriors have slipped to the point where forecasters can’t be sure at any rate. As this sport goes, one can never be sure anyway.
Just when you want to pick Manny as a winner (he was something like 3 to 1 underdog last time I checked), you remember his last fight with Marquez and pause.
Just as you are ready to go with Floyd, you remember his two fights (especially the first) with Maidana. The much-slower-than-Pacquiao Maidana. The come-straight-forward Maidana who doesn’t give angles like Pacquiao. You are ready to place your bet on Mayweather, but then you are confronted with two questions:
1. Has Floyd slowed down to the point that he can’t see the slow, wide punches of a guy like Maidana?
2. Was Maidana simply Floyd’s “Ken Norton”, a guy with a style that perplexingly gave Floyd fits?
Had this fight taken place in 2009 or 2010, I believe a more accurate examination of facts could be achieved, potentially leading to a more logical conclusion. Nevertheless, it’s on! Like popcorn baby! We are set for May 2!
The conspiracy theorist in me dare suggests that there will be a two-fight scenario, quite specifically related to outcome of May 2. I’ll get into that at a later date. For now, let’s just digest a moment that has been sitting inside of our stomachs for over five years.
It’s been signed. It’s been sealed. But will it….